Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Forest Green
24.8%
Draw
53.9%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Forest Green
vs
1.54
Notts County
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).