Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Malaga
21.6%
Draw
17.7%
Huesca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Malaga
vs
0.92
Huesca
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).