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AHT: 10CSV

02 Oct 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.3%
Weymouth
23.5%
Draw
63.2%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Weymouth

vs
1.85

Stockport

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).