Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Fleetwood Town
27.4%
Draw
38.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.18
Colchester
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).