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27 Nov 2020 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.8%
St Pauli
16.0%
Draw
7.2%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

St Pauli

vs
0.68

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).