Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Elche
26.4%
Draw
37.7%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Elche
vs
1.36
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).