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AHT: 12CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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1.0%
Darmstadt
3.3%
Draw
95.7%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.53

Darmstadt

vs
4.64

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.596.5%
Over 2.588.8%
Over 3.575.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-4
11.1%
0-5
10.3%
0-3
9.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-4
5.8%
1-5
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
2.6%
2-4
1.5%
1-1
1.5%
2-5
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).