Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Portsmouth
31.7%
Draw
36.5%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Portsmouth
vs
1.12
Swansea
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).