Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Bournemouth
31.0%
Draw
31.8%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Bournemouth
vs
1.16
Everton
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).