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04 May 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.3%
Rotherham
29.9%
Draw
41.8%
Cardiff

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Rotherham

vs
1.31

Cardiff

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).