Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Rochdale
24.9%
Draw
22.4%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Rochdale
vs
0.82
Northampton
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).