Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Wrexham
26.5%
Draw
19.6%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Wrexham
vs
0.90
Oxford
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).