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20 Sept 2020 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.6%
Erzurum BB
33.8%
Draw
26.6%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Erzurum BB

vs
1.07

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).