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20 Oct 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Rubin Kazan
27.6%
Draw
37.0%
Dinamo Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Rubin Kazan

vs
1.46

Dinamo Moskva

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).