Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Dresden
22.8%
Draw
52.6%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Dresden
vs
2.09
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-0
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).