Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.9%
Santa Clara
24.5%
Draw
63.6%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Santa Clara
vs
1.72
Benfica
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
8.3%
1-0
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).