Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Villarreal
22.3%
Draw
17.5%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Villarreal
vs
0.92
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).