Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.3%
Rio Ave
12.9%
Draw
82.8%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Rio Ave
vs
2.65
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-3
13.4%
0-1
11.0%
0-4
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
1-1
6.1%
0-0
4.7%
0-5
4.7%
1-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).