Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Norwich
20.2%
Draw
14.3%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Norwich
vs
0.98
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).