Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.1%
Bielefeld
22.4%
Draw
65.5%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Bielefeld
vs
1.90
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).