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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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92.1%
Guiseley
5.7%
Draw
2.3%
1874 Northwich

Expected Goals (xG)

3.78

Guiseley

vs
0.54

1874 Northwich

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.580.4%
Over 3.562.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.0%
4-0
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
5-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
2.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).