Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Alanyaspor
30.9%
Draw
15.8%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Alanyaspor
vs
0.80
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).