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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
AFC Wulfrunians
14.7%
Draw
20.5%
Shepshed Dynamo

Expected Goals (xG)

3.41

AFC Wulfrunians

vs
2.02

Shepshed Dynamo

Markets

BTTS83.8%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.590.7%
Over 3.579.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
4-2
5.0%
4-1
5.0%
3-3
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
5-2
3.4%
5-1
3.4%
4-3
3.4%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).