Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Wurzburger Kickers
28.3%
Draw
44.9%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Wurzburger Kickers
vs
1.49
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).