Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Hull
23.2%
Draw
15.9%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Hull
vs
0.87
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).