Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Oxford
31.7%
Draw
34.7%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Oxford
vs
1.07
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).