Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
St. Gallen
28.5%
Draw
25.3%
Basel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
St. Gallen
vs
1.17
Basel
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).