Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Newcastle
16.0%
Draw
33.5%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.34
Newcastle
vs
2.80
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS90.5%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.4%
Over 2.594.4%
Over 3.586.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2
5.2%
3-3
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
4.4%
4-2
4.4%
4-3
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-4
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
2-4
3.1%
5-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).