Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Salernitana
34.9%
Draw
31.7%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Salernitana
vs
0.91
Spal
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).