Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Catanzaro
24.2%
Draw
15.2%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Catanzaro
vs
0.83
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).