Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Dortmund
21.5%
Draw
19.9%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Dortmund
vs
1.20
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).