Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Auxerre
26.3%
Draw
13.9%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Auxerre
vs
0.50
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS29.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.5%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
9.9%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%
0-2
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).