⚽ FootballData
4 – 0
HHT: 30CSV

18 May 2019

Dijon

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.5%
Paris SG
11.2%
Draw
5.3%
Dijon

Expected Goals (xG)

2.83

Paris SG

vs
0.59

Dijon

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
5.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
5.0%
0-0
3.1%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).