Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Port Vale
27.4%
Draw
35.1%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Port Vale
vs
1.04
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).