Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Wolves
26.7%
Draw
33.4%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Wolves
vs
1.48
Luton
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).