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DHT: 13CSV

29 Jan 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Beerschot VA
24.7%
Draw
47.6%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Beerschot VA

vs
1.75

Waregem

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).