Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Kasimpasa
27.1%
Draw
27.0%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Kasimpasa
vs
1.45
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS67.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).