Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
QPR
25.3%
Draw
21.6%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
QPR
vs
1.03
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).