Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Boston Utd
26.7%
Draw
27.8%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Boston Utd
vs
1.21
Sutton
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).