Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Bolton
27.1%
Draw
50.3%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Bolton
vs
1.28
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).