Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Bradford
25.4%
Draw
22.3%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bradford
vs
0.85
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).