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16 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Ad. Demirspor
28.7%
Draw
36.7%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Ad. Demirspor

vs
1.62

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS66.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).