Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.6%
Spezia
16.5%
Draw
73.9%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Spezia
vs
2.30
Juventus
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-1
11.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
5.9%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).