Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Crotone
20.4%
Draw
62.4%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Crotone
vs
2.04
Lazio
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).