Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Hammarby
20.2%
Draw
18.4%
Sirius
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Hammarby
vs
1.30
Sirius
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
4-0
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).