Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Grimsby
20.9%
Draw
30.1%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Grimsby
vs
1.55
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).