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HHT: 10CSV

21 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.4%
Xanthi
31.8%
Draw
13.8%
Apollon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Xanthi

vs
0.51

Apollon

Markets

BTTS29.5%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.526.2%
Over 3.510.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.5%
0-0
18.0%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
0-2
2.2%
4-0
1.8%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).