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08 Mar 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.3%
Como
18.6%
Draw
9.1%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Como

vs
0.55

Venezia

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.6%
1-0
15.6%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).