Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Rotherham
20.7%
Draw
65.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Rotherham
vs
1.77
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-2
14.2%
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).