Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Pacos Ferreira
27.7%
Draw
44.4%
Setubal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.25
Setubal
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).